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Hormuz Signal (hormuzsignal.com) — Composite chokepoint-escalation risk model: a weighted 0-100 escalation score built from ten normalised indicator series, each stored with its own peacetime baseline, live reading, freshness timestamp and stress contribution. Indicators include live AIS Hormuz crossings (24h), daily commercial transits through Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, a modelled Gulf war-risk premium as % of hull value, VLCC TD3C MEG-China freight earnings, intraday Brent front month, Saudi East-West pipeline (Petroline) Yanbu loadings, AIS-estimated Chinese imports of Iranian crude, Iran o…
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Composite chokepoint-escalation risk model: a weighted 0-100 escalation score built from ten normalised indicator series, each stored with its own peacetime baseline, live reading, freshness timestamp and stress contribution. Indicators include live AIS Hormuz crossings (24h), daily commercial transits through Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, a modelled Gulf war-risk premium as % of hull value, VLCC TD3C MEG-China freight earnings, intraday Brent front month, Saudi East-West pipeline (Petroline) Yanbu loadings, AIS-estimated Chinese imports of Iranian crude, Iran oil export estimates, US commercial crude and distillate stocks, and GDELT conflict-coverage tempo. Latent asset: the aligned multi-frequency panel (minutes-to-monthly cadences joined on one timeline with explicit staleness labels) plus the modelled war-risk premium series, which the site notes has no public price series at all because quotes are bilateral.
Coverage FinancialsAsset class Equities · Commodities · FuturesTickers FRO · STNG · INSW
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Hormuz Signal (hormuzsignal.com) — Composite chokepoint-escalation risk model: a weighted 0-100 escalation score built from ten normalised indicator series, each stored with its own peacetime baseline, live reading, freshness timestamp and stress contribution. Indicators include live AIS Hormuz crossings (24h), daily commercial transits through Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, a modelled Gulf war-risk premium as % of hull value, VLCC TD3C MEG-China freight earnings, intraday Brent front month, Saudi East-West pipeline (Petroline) Yanbu loadings, AIS-estimated Chinese imports of Iranian crude, Iran o…
Hormuzsignal offers (Alternative, Price, Geospatial, Supply Chain) — Small but dense: 10 indicator series x trailing-180-day history at per-indicator cadence (live AIS at minutes, Brent intraday, weekly EIA stocks, monthly trade estimates) plus one composite score series — order of tens of thousands of timestamped observations, i.e. a few MB. The 24h live AIS Hormuz crossing counter updates at roughly 5-minute cadence, the highest-frequency element..
Escalation-nowcasting and event-study target construction for energy quant desks; feature panel for tanker freight and war-risk premium models; eval ground-truth for agents answering geopolitical supply-chain questions (dated, machine-checkable readings); back-testable label series for chokepoint-closure event studies; validation set for AIS-derived flow models. Primary buyer value is the aligned multi-source panel and the modelled premium series, not any single upstream feed.
Coverage spans US, UK, Other; Financial Exchanges & Data; alternative, price, geospatial, supply_chain; equities, commodities, futures, options.
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