Climate-conditioned stochastic hurricane loss and landfall dataset

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Climate-conditioned stochastic hurricane loss and landfall dataset: simulated hurricane seasons forced by six-month seasonal ensemble forecasts (initialized each June), producing year-specific landfall probability along the US Gulf and Atlantic coast and adjusted event frequency/intensity/landfall distributions, validated against 40 years (1985-2024) of industry insured hurricane losses and industry loss warranty premium history. Ships as stochastic loss tables plus a Python adjustment layer that re-weights a standard catastrophe model to the expected climate state of a given season.

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Industry: Reinsurance
Instruments: structured_productsderivativesfixed_incomeequities
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Type: not stated
Format: Tabular / numeric (stochastic event and loss tables, per-season loss distributions) delivered as a Python package and model output; supporting time series of industry losses and ILW premia
Volume: Est. 40 seasons (1985-2024) of stochastic hurricane season simulations with large event sets per season (thousands to tens of thousands of simulated landfalling events per season, consistent with stochastic catastrophe tables), plus the historical insured-loss and ILW premium series used for validation. The licensable artifact is the event/loss table set, not bulk observational weather data.
Users: N/A — B2B climate-risk model vendor selling subscriptions and research engagements to insurers, reinsurers and ILS managers; no registered-user base is the asset
History: 40 years
Update frequency: not stated
Growth: Active — publishing peer-reviewed model papers (a 2025 journal article and a March 2026 preprint under review), running named research partnerships with ILS asset managers, and productizing model components into a released software package
Launched: ~2017-2019 for the company (seed-funded, company record dates to 2017 as a research venture); the current commercial model product line is more recent, with the published tropical-cyclone model appearing in a 2025 journal
Delivery: not stated
Entity mapping: not stated
Sample: not stated
Point-in-time: not stated
Licence: not stated

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