NatGas Edge

NatGas Edge — A single-commodity Henry Hub fundamentals panel spanning sixteen years at daily resolution across six families: regional temperature and heating/cooling degree days for the five US storage regions with 15-day forward forecasts split into three horizons and anomaly comparisons against 5-year and 10-year norms; ISO-level hourly renewables generation by fuel type across seven ISOs converted into gas burn displaced in Bcf, calibrated to EIA-930 actuals and modelled forward; daily feed gas for seven named LNG export terminals per-terminal and aggregated against seasonal norms; Lower …

NatGas Edge offers (Alternative, Price, Supply Chain, Sentiment) — Dense but bounded: 16 years x daily resolution across five weather regions with three forecast horizons, hourly TWh by ISO and fuel type across seven ISOs (the heaviest series - roughly 60,000 hourly rows per ISO-year), daily feed gas for seven terminals, weekly storage and COT, plus the full forward curve and prompt OHLC - so low tens of millions of observations overall, dominated by the hourly renewables layer, and a compact 156-week labelled signal series that is the scarce component.

Supervised backtesting and model training on a 156-week out-of-sample record of labelled directional calls with published accuracy (62% overall, 67% on high-conviction subsets) against actual outcomes; pre-release EIA storage nowcasting (18 Bcf MAE published seven days ahead, benchmarked against consensus forecasts); renewables-displacement modelling of gas burn at ISO level, which is the hardest link in gas-power analysis; LNG feedgas narrative quantification per terminal; positioning-based contrarian signal construction using COT z-scores and regime flags; weather-model revision tracking as a short-horizon trading input; building proprietary gas models on a clean 16-year feature panel without assembling six separate public sources.

The data is with 16 years of history.