Decerio

Decerio — Pre-award government-contracting financial planning data: probability-weighted (pWin) revenue forecasts for unpublished opportunities, DCAA-compliant cost estimates with direct/indirect rate build-ups, resource-requirement projections tied to pipeline, contract-level margin structures, and scenario replays showing how pWin assumptions move EBITDA and enterprise value — generated as byproduct of an FP&A platform sitting between a contractor's CRM and its ERP.. Small vendor, unusually dense data. A 6-person private firm in Annapolis with no disclosed funding, whose value is not volume…

Decerio offers (Alternative, Fundamental, Sentiment) — Modest row count but very high field density — est. tens of thousands of pursuit-forecast, cost-estimate and scenario records to date (small install base), each carrying full rate structures and resource plans. Value is in density per record and in the longitudinal forecast-versus-actual pairs, not in row volume..

Calibration datasets for win-probability models (expert prior versus actual award outcome, paired before the result is public); leading indicators of future federal revenue for listed GovCon primes; price-to-win and bid-margin benchmarking by agency and contract vehicle; indirect-rate and wrap-rate benchmarking; resource and hiring planning models driven by pipeline outlook; backtesting forecast accuracy of contractor guidance; training models that map pre-solicitation pursuit attributes to realized EBITDA contribution

The data is with 10 years of history.

Coverage spans US; Application Software; alternative, fundamental, sentiment; equities.